Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Meeks | 37 | 17-24 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 30 | - |
| R. Harris | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Porter | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Miller | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Liggins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Galloway | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Slone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Krebs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke | 37 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Welsh | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| M. Washington | 34 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Henry | 31 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Britt | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Clark | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter