Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Turner | 33 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Stewart | 33 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson | 32 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Bost | 31 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| R. Benock | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Osby | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Augustus | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Bailey | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 37 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| T. Waller | 32 | 10-15 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 27 | - |
| K. Barber | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Barrett | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Knox | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter