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2009-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Cornell Big Red Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: Cornell Big Red +21 (96-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 30 6-10 1-2 3-4 3 6 0 0 1 16 14 -
O. McNally 27 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 3 1 0 1 6 9 -
J. Lin 27 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 8 11 -1 -
K. Wright 25 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 6 7 -
M. Kenyi 25 3-6 0-2 8-9 1 1 0 1 0 14 11 -
P. Boehm 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
E. Harris 19 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
A. Pusar 19 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
H. Martin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Swiatek 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 36 8-13 4-7 0-0 4 6 0 0 0 20 17 -
C. Wroblewski 31 6-11 5-6 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 17 16 -
J. Foote 28 5-8 0-0 0-3 7 2 1 2 3 10 11 -
G. Reeves 24 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Wire 21 5-7 0-0 4-4 2 4 4 0 0 14 17 -
L. Dale 20 5-9 1-2 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 12 8 -
B. Kreefer 13 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Tyler 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 3 3 6 7 -
A. Gore 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 5 -
P. Reynolds 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Battle 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Jaques 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter