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2009-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 32 8-17 3-5 1-2 9 2 1 1 2 20 14 -
D. Rufful 29 4-9 1-3 1-2 4 3 2 1 2 10 9 -
M. Sanders 23 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 3 3 0 -
J. Trotter 22 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
R. Pride 18 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 10 3 -
D. Biber 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 0 -
K. Graeber 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 1 0 2 -
C. Weeden 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Dixon 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
J. Riddle 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
E. Fitzgerald 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Mathis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Crecco 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Kouna 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 37 8-16 2-2 2-2 9 2 2 2 2 20 17 -
J. Miller 36 6-11 0-0 7-10 8 4 0 1 1 19 20 -
K.J. Matsui 28 4-10 3-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 1 -
K. Bulger 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 2 1 -
P. Foley 25 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
A. Ampim 20 1-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 3 2 4 -
S. Egee 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Bova 9 1-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Crimmins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter