Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bursey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | - |
| I. Mcfarland | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Monroe | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Harvin | 0 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Davis-Cain | 0 | 5-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -1 | - |
| M. Freshour | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
* = starter