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2009-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +12 (60-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 6 -
D. Davis 26 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
D. Mavraides 22 2-5 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
P. Saunders 22 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
K. Maddox 22 2-4 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
Z. Finley 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 2 0 -
P. Buczak 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 0 0 -
J. Comfort 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
N. Lake 11 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Huc 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 -
B. Foley 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Briggs 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Strittmatter 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 27 5-12 2-7 1-2 2 0 2 0 3 13 2 -
T. Pinick 24 4-5 0-0 2-3 8 3 0 1 2 10 15 -
P. Braswell 20 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
R. Morin 20 3-10 0-1 4-4 10 1 1 0 1 10 11 -
C. Andrews 20 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 6 2 0 1 4 10 -
G. Fiddler 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Gibson 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 3 0 0 3 -
M. Sands 15 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
P. Nelson 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 -
R. Mantilla 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
G. Mangano 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
R. Willhite 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Anderson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter