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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 84.4% 15.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (8.6 off)
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brand 43 8-14 4-6 2-2 4 1 3 0 2 22 14 -
D. Sims 41 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 12 4 -
I. Butts 34 5-10 0-0 0-1 8 3 0 2 2 10 11 -
T. Webb 25 3-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
M. Wright 24 7-13 3-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 17 12 -
D. Hughes 20 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Hunter 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 -
A. Williamson 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A.J. Highsmith 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Urbanus 44 5-11 4-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 14 9 -
D. Nelson 39 1-7 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 4 5 -1 -
J. Brown 38 4-7 0-0 2-6 12 1 5 2 1 10 22 -
A. Dahn 37 3-9 3-6 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 11 4 -
C. Wells 33 11-16 0-2 8-8 3 7 2 0 1 30 25 -
C. Morabbi 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
B. Streeter 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Brick 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Clark 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter