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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% -
Margin 72.6% 27.4% -5.4 (3.4 off)
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 40 8-14 3-4 2-6 2 2 3 0 3 21 11 -
J. Pargo 37 3-8 0-0 5-6 5 6 2 0 5 11 11 -
J. Heytvelt 34 4-7 1-1 11-14 10 1 1 1 0 20 26 -
S. Gray 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
A. Daye 22 3-12 1-3 2-3 4 1 1 1 1 9 3 -
M. Downs 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 3 0 0 4 6 -
W. Foster 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
I. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Goodson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 36 3-8 0-1 6-12 15 0 4 1 2 12 22 -
W. Hunter 35 5-10 4-7 4-5 2 2 0 0 2 18 10 -
M. McConnell 29 2-7 1-3 0-1 1 3 1 0 6 5 -3 -
O. Samhan 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 6 2 -
L. Walker 19 1-5 0-2 3-5 8 1 1 0 0 5 10 -
C. Hughes 17 5-10 4-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
I. O'Leary 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
Y. Smith 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
C. Steindl 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
B. Allen 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter