Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -42.7 | ✓ (37.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 32 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| N. Raivio | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Stohl | 25 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Knutson | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Sikma | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Ito | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| D. Bryant | 35 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 30 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| B. Wallace | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter