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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 86.7% 13.3% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -42.7 (37.7 off)
Pythagorean 78.2% 21.8% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 32 5-9 5-7 0-1 5 7 1 0 2 15 17 -
N. Raivio 31 2-9 0-1 3-5 8 2 0 0 0 7 8 -
R. Smeulders 29 4-5 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 2 3 12 14 -
J. Stohl 25 6-7 4-5 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 16 10 -
K. Knutson 23 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
L. Sikma 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
E. Niedermeyer 14 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
B.J. Porter 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Waterford 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
T. Ito 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Hannibal 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 36 9-17 1-4 5-7 6 1 1 2 2 24 15 -
D. Bryant 35 2-9 2-3 3-4 6 5 3 0 0 9 14 -
C. O'Brien 31 1-4 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 0 4 9 -
K. Vaughn 30 3-12 0-4 4-4 1 0 1 1 2 10 -1 -
B. Wallace 28 2-7 1-4 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Caloiaro 24 1-6 0-4 8-11 7 0 2 0 2 10 11 -
C. Hernandez 16 1-4 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
P. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter