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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota Fighting Hawks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joseph 33 6-10 0-2 3-4 2 5 0 0 4 15 8 -
D. Harkins 32 4-5 3-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 11 7 -
O.J. Harrison 32 5-7 4-6 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
T. Bledsoe 25 4-8 4-7 1-1 0 2 1 0 0 13 8 -
W. Porter 25 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 9 -
T. Mertens 23 1-2 0-0 2-5 1 3 2 2 2 4 8 -
P. Mitchell 17 3-5 2-4 1-3 7 0 0 0 2 9 9 -
D. Benter 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Monsebroten 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 36 4-6 2-3 10-11 1 2 0 0 2 20 15 -
J. Pena 30 5-6 3-4 0-1 4 1 2 1 4 13 11 -
M. Proctor 28 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 6 7 -
J. Banks 28 3-3 0-0 5-6 10 0 0 0 0 11 18 -
D. Beitzel 27 5-11 5-10 0-0 5 5 1 0 0 15 15 -
R. Palacios 16 2-3 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
Y. Bonner 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -
N. Kingman 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
T. Montgomery 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
C. Kaba 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter