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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Denver Pioneers Florida Atlantic Owls Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.9 โœ— (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—

Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Rohnert 39 7-13 1-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 3 15 5 -
A. Hooper 32 4-7 3-5 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 13 9 -
S. Chen 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Lewis 24 4-7 0-0 2-4 9 6 0 3 2 10 19 -
B. Stafford 23 6-10 5-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 17 9 -
K. Lewis 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -4 -
N. Peter-Denman 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Hallam 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Coughlin 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Royster 38 4-6 0-0 5-5 9 0 0 5 2 13 19 -
A. Tucker 33 4-8 0-0 4-5 4 4 2 0 3 12 11 -
P. Graham III 31 8-15 4-8 5-5 2 2 2 0 3 25 13 -
S. Richardson 30 2-10 1-6 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 5 1 -
C. Nwoji 28 0-4 0-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
C. Coleman 21 3-4 0-0 6-6 6 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
C. Watson 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter