Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Patterson | 37 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 35 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Edwards | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Fowler | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Smith | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Burton | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Jackson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bails | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Foster | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Boone | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| I. Koggu | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Lance | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 23 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. McKinney | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| B. Ayers | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Morgan | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Bryant | 15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter