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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (7.5 off)
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Murray 37 9-14 4-7 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 24 14 -
J. Thomas 35 3-7 0-0 3-7 8 1 0 3 2 9 12 -
P. Nelson 35 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 5 5 -
J. Dominguez 32 6-14 3-9 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 17 12 -
K. Coston 25 0-4 0-4 1-4 3 3 2 0 0 1 5 -
D. Waters 18 3-10 2-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 9 6 -
T. Mara 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Jones 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stucki 40 7-13 2-5 9-10 7 4 0 1 1 25 23 -
A. Morgan 36 5-10 0-1 3-6 2 6 1 0 3 13 9 -
L. Steijn 28 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
A. Kilpatrick 23 0-5 0-4 2-2 3 3 0 2 0 2 5 -
D. Carson 23 5-9 0-1 3-3 2 0 3 0 2 13 7 -
C. Tatum 22 4-8 0-0 5-5 10 0 0 0 1 13 14 -
S. Baldwin 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
F. Caspari 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Busma 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Taylor 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter