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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Rembert 34 4-10 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 10 8 -
M. Hunter 34 5-11 1-5 11-12 1 2 2 0 1 22 15 -
E. Wise 33 6-13 0-0 6-8 8 6 0 0 6 18 13 -
K. Bland 30 5-15 0-2 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 10 6 -
D. Strings 27 2-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
C. DeCasas 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Lauer 16 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
A. Folker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Lalehzadeh 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Staker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 39 7-15 2-3 8-10 8 0 1 1 2 24 17 -
M. Payne 37 3-5 0-1 8-8 6 5 2 1 3 14 20 -
D. Calegari 30 4-10 2-5 2-2 4 4 0 1 2 12 9 -
V. Oliver 28 2-5 0-3 6-6 4 0 1 0 1 10 9 -
T. Lowenthal 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
K. Brucculeri 18 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
D. Carter 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
R. Silva 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 2 4 -
M. Boone 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
A. Malik 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter