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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (31.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +33 (90-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 33 2-9 0-3 1-2 4 4 1 1 3 5 3 -
E. Clark 32 5-13 1-1 0-3 10 3 1 2 2 11 12 -
J. Smith 23 2-6 1-5 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
E. Sosa 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. McGee 20 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. Samuels 17 4-6 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
T. Jennings 16 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 1 -
P. Knowles 12 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
G. Goode 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
J. Swopshire 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Delk 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
W. Scott 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Ayers 38 7-9 5-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 19 16 -
T. Jackson 38 5-14 0-1 4-6 5 4 5 1 3 14 12 -
L. Harangody 35 14-21 0-0 4-7 17 4 0 1 1 32 32 -
K. McAlarney 33 7-13 5-9 2-3 3 3 1 1 3 21 13 -
Z. Hillesland 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 1 2 11 -
T. Nash 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
J. Peoples 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Zeller 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Scott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
T. Andree 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter