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2009-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 88.2% 11.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 38 8-16 4-9 1-4 6 5 2 0 2 21 16 -
C. Frazier 38 1-5 0-1 0-1 7 8 0 0 1 2 11 -
M. Tisdale 32 5-8 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 10 5 -
M. Davis 29 5-9 0-0 0-4 6 3 0 2 1 10 11 -
T. Meacham 28 6-8 2-3 1-1 0 2 2 1 1 15 11 -
C. Brock 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
D. Keller 8 1-5 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Legion 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Jordan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 38 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 8 -1 -
K. Coble 37 5-13 2-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 14 9 -
M. Thompson 37 4-11 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 9 5 -
L. Mirkovic 35 5-7 2-2 2-3 12 4 1 0 0 14 24 -
J. Shurna 22 3-8 1-5 1-1 4 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
J. Nash 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 4 6 -
K. Rowley 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Capocci 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Williams 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter