Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hackett | 40 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 40 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Lewis | 38 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| T. Gibson | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| L. Washington | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Budinger | 40 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| J. Hill | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Wise | 39 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| K. Fogg | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Horne | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Lavender | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Onobun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter