Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor | 32 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| M. Pillow | 32 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Rueter | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Cannon | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Brewer | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Brown | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Marks | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Silverman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Clayborn | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Shank | 30 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 25 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Allen | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Gabbidon | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Jackson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Bonney | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Stepter | 18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Gasporra | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Frohlich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter