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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 86.3% 13.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 82.2% 17.8% -
Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Coleman 36 7-18 0-1 6-9 5 1 3 0 2 20 9 -
K. Lewis 35 4-14 1-6 2-2 5 2 1 1 0 11 6 -
Q. Calhoun 34 5-7 2-2 1-1 7 1 2 0 2 13 14 -
M. Cousin 33 6-11 0-0 2-3 14 0 1 1 2 14 17 -
Z. Nixon 26 3-8 1-3 2-2 0 7 1 0 1 9 8 -
D. Wade 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
D. Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Coleman 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mosley 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
H. McGloster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McCoy 36 3-11 2-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 10 0 -
D. Williams 36 1-7 1-3 5-6 3 5 0 0 4 8 5 -
M. Faye 32 3-9 2-5 1-2 13 1 3 0 2 9 15 -
B. Fall 28 4-6 0-0 8-11 6 0 0 2 4 16 14 -
R. Harp 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
P. Dia 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Nyakundi 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Walker 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
J. Haynes 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
F. Otis 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter