Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 36 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| K. Lewis | 35 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Q. Calhoun | 34 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Cousin | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Wade | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| D. Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Coleman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Mosley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. McGloster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 36 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 36 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Faye | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| B. Fall | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Harp | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Dia | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Walker | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Haynes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| F. Otis | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter