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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 59
@
Northwestern State Demons 51
2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 84.7% 15.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 75.1% 24.9% - ✓
Margin 83.5% 16.5% -8.9 ✓ (0.9 off)

Actual: Northwestern State Demons -8 (51-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Alexander 40 6-14 2-7 7-10 10 2 0 1 3 21 17 -
N. Shaw 39 0-6 0-1 1-3 10 4 1 0 1 1 9 -
E. Williams 28 2-7 0-1 2-3 1 2 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Kingsley 26 3-11 0-0 1-4 10 0 1 2 4 7 5 -
E. Bell 23 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 4 3 -
G. Adams 19 1-2 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 1 2 6 6 -
B. Akpan 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 8 4 -
W. Harris 10 2-6 1-2 1-3 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Scott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Porterie 34 4-10 0-0 4-5 13 3 1 0 4 12 15 -
W. Mosley 34 2-4 0-0 1-2 14 1 0 3 0 5 19 -
D. Jones 34 2-9 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 6 -2 -
M. McConathy 24 4-11 1-4 0-0 0 2 3 0 5 9 -2 -
D. Knight 21 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 2 0 4 2 2 -
K. Hancock 19 2-8 1-5 4-4 1 1 2 0 2 9 3 -
C. Clark 18 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
L. McConathy 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Brooks 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Petravicius 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Richardson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter