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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 21.5% 78.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas 36 0-2 0-2 0-1 3 5 1 0 7 0 0 -
S. Lewis 30 4-12 2-6 0-1 4 1 1 1 0 10 5 -
L. Keeler 29 2-10 0-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
T. Shelton 29 4-12 0-0 3-3 6 1 1 1 1 11 7 -
J. Manley 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
W. Dipprey 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 -
J. Brown 13 5-5 1-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 1 14 9 -
D. Hanson 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Anderson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Galick 30 3-10 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 6 7 -
M. Hill 27 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 6 7 -
R. Haynes 27 3-8 1-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 4 -
K. Daniels 21 4-7 0-1 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
T. Townsend 19 4-9 0-2 1-4 6 1 1 1 0 9 9 -
R. Mels 19 3-10 0-3 1-2 2 3 3 0 0 7 5 -
T. Taylor 17 4-8 0-2 1-1 3 0 2 1 0 9 7 -
X. Crawford 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
T. Osunsanmi 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
V. Cordell 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Jenkins 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
J. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter