Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 36 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lewis | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Keeler | 29 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Manley | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Hanson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Galick | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Hill | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Haynes | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Daniels | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Townsend | 19 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Mels | 19 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| X. Crawford | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| V. Cordell | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter