Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Raymond | 34 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Brown | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Jackson | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Love | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Holloway | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. McLean | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Frease | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Redford | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Wright | 26 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Johnson | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Searcy | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Thomas | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Warren | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Williams | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Lowery | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter