Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.2% | 2.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Martinez | 34 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Gary | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| P. McDonald | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Faris | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Toppert | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Garth | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Wills | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Holland | 30 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| A. Henke | 30 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| S. Schafer | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Merriex | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Washington | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| G. Parker | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Stewart | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Provost | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Noonan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. McLain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter