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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 97.2% 2.8% -
Bradley-Terry 79.4% 20.6% -
Margin 84.6% 15.4% -9.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 78.1% 21.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Danridge 37 6-10 0-0 4-7 7 1 1 0 3 16 12 -
R. Martinez 34 6-9 4-7 4-6 4 0 0 1 1 20 15 -
D. Gary 27 2-6 1-4 3-4 2 7 2 0 0 8 13 -
P. McDonald 23 4-6 2-4 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 12 13 -
D. Faris 22 2-2 0-0 5-7 1 2 0 1 2 9 9 -
C. Toppert 17 2-3 2-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
A.J. Hardeman 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Garth 15 0-2 0-1 4-6 1 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
J. Wills 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 38 3-4 0-0 5-6 2 3 0 0 2 11 10 -
M. Holland 30 8-11 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 20 12 -
A. Henke 30 6-13 3-7 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 19 11 -
S. Schafer 26 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 4 7 -
S. Hempsey 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 2 4 -
A. Merriex 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
E. Washington 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
G. Parker 14 2-3 1-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. Stewart 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Provost 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Noonan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. El-Amin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. McLain 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter