Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (94-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thornton | 49 | 6-19 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 49 | 12-15 | 2-2 | 15-18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 46 | - |
| G. Temple | 34 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Martin | 31 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Spencer | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Warren | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Bass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Farrer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 47 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| B. Stewart | 44 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 41 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 28 | - |
| R. Johnson | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Osby | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Bailey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Augustus | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Beckham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter