Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (94-97). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 49 | 6-19 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tasmin Mitchell * | 49 | 12-15 | 2-2 | 15-18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 46 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bo Spencer * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Terry Martin | 31 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Quintin Thornton | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Storm Warren | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chris Bass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alex Farrer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 47 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Barry Stewart * | 44 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Phil Turner * | 41 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado * | 30 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Ravern Johnson * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Riley Benock | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Johnson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Romero Osby | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Elgin Bailey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kodi Augustus | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Twany Beckham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter