Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 38 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Holloway | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Sampay | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| L. Shipley | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Rubin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 37 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| N. Garner | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| S. Ely | 32 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| K. Williams | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Lacey | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Holmes | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hopf | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter