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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kelly 36 7-9 2-3 1-3 4 2 1 0 5 17 10 -
D. Bawinkel 35 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
M. Gatens 29 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 6 -2 -
J. Peterson 29 3-7 1-2 3-4 1 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
J. Cole 26 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 1 5 10 -
J. Davis 17 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
D. Palmer 16 1-1 1-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Fuller 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Brommer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 36 5-8 3-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 15 14 -
J. Krabbenhoft 34 7-10 0-1 2-3 6 3 2 2 2 16 17 -
T. Hughes 34 6-12 1-2 1-2 2 6 2 0 1 14 11 -
J. Leuer 28 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 0 0 5 10 -
M. Landry 27 3-9 1-2 2-3 2 2 0 1 1 9 4 -
T. Jarmusz 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
K. Nankivil 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Gullikson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Taylor 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Valentyn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.P. Gavinski 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter