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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% -
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wilson 35 4-11 0-1 7-9 11 2 2 0 6 15 13 -
S. Maniscalco 35 3-9 1-3 6-7 2 3 0 0 4 13 5 -
C. Roberts 26 4-7 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 11 7 -
D. Collins 26 1-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
D. Dunson 25 3-7 1-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
E. McCain 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Norris 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
S. Singh 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Brown 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 28 5-8 3-5 2-2 1 3 2 0 2 15 11 -
J. Carter 27 3-6 0-2 4-7 5 0 2 0 2 10 9 -
J. Dotzler 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 9 2 0 1 0 9 -
B. Woodfox 22 7-12 4-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 18 9 -
K. Walker II 22 5-7 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 3 2 11 13 -
K. Lawson Jr. 18 3-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
K. Korver 17 2-3 1-2 0-1 3 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
A. Young 16 0-2 0-1 3-4 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
C. Harriman 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Witter 13 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
D. Sitzmann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter