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2009-02-10

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 36 4-9 3-8 2-2 0 2 2 0 0 13 8 -
Z. Buljan 34 5-15 1-3 0-2 13 2 0 1 6 11 6 -
J. Ebie 34 1-4 0-2 2-4 6 5 2 0 6 4 7 -
K. Langford 32 2-6 0-0 3-6 2 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
R. Moss 29 5-11 3-6 2-3 6 1 1 0 5 15 7 -
K. Butler 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Mitchem 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
K. Rose 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ortiz 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Darger 33 5-13 4-9 0-0 6 1 4 1 2 14 11 -
R. Rougeau 31 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 2 3 10 8 -
O. Bellfield 30 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 3 3 0 4 5 5 -
W. Adams 30 6-13 3-6 6-6 1 4 1 0 3 21 11 -
T. Willis 28 4-4 1-1 2-3 4 5 2 1 3 11 16 -
D. Mitchell 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
K. Wallace 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Rutledge 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
D. Santee 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
S. Hoffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Ketchum 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Massamba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter