Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -12 (42-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| G. Suton | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Summers | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Roe | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Lucious | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Gray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Novak | 37 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Harris | 37 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 37 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Sims | 25 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| S. Douglass | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Grady | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Merritt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter