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2009-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 91.2% 8.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 37 10-20 2-7 11-15 7 3 2 0 2 33 23 -
D. Werner 34 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 3 0 3 4 1 -
A. Tyus 30 7-11 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 3 0 14 11 -
E. Walker 27 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
C. Parsons 24 0-4 0-1 2-5 6 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
W. Hodge 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 2 0 -
R. Shipman 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Kadji 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Meeks 40 7-19 3-10 6-8 5 1 0 1 1 23 10 -
M. Porter 33 3-4 3-4 0-2 2 1 1 0 4 9 5 -
P. Patterson 30 3-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
P. Stevenson 30 5-8 0-1 0-0 8 0 2 3 6 10 9 -
K. Galloway 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 9 1 0 4 6 15 -
R. Harris 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 -
J. Harrellson 11 5-6 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
D. Miller 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
D. Liggins 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter