🐻⬇️🏀

Florida Gators 65
@
Kentucky Wildcats 68
2009-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% +2.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Calathes * 37 10-20 2-7 11-15 7 3 2 0 2 33 23 -
D. Werner * 34 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 3 0 3 4 1 -
Alex Tyus * 30 7-11 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 3 0 14 11 -
Chandler Parsons * 24 0-4 0-1 2-5 6 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Walter Hodge * 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 2 0 -
Erving Walker 27 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Ray Shipman 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Kenny Kadji 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jodie Meeks * 40 7-19 3-10 6-8 5 1 0 1 1 23 10 -
M. Porter * 33 3-4 3-4 0-2 2 1 1 0 4 9 5 -
Patrick Patterson * 30 3-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
P. Stevenson * 30 5-8 0-1 0-0 8 0 2 3 6 10 9 -
R. Harris * 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 -
K. Galloway 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 9 1 0 4 6 15 -
Josh Harrellson 11 5-6 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
Darius Miller 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
DeAndre Liggins 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter