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2009-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Presbyterian Blue Hose Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +21 (69-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Miller 38 1-9 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 2 -6 -
J. Johnson 34 3-7 1-3 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
B. Bostic 33 2-11 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 4 -6 -
A. Coleman 33 4-11 1-1 4-4 7 3 0 1 1 13 12 -
T. Sligh 23 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
C. Holmes 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 5 6 2 -
A. Gibbs 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
K. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 37 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 10 9 -
J. Sanders 35 4-5 0-0 2-5 10 10 1 2 0 10 28 -
S. Curry 35 6-14 4-6 6-6 5 3 3 0 1 22 18 -
K. Ohman 33 4-9 2-4 2-4 7 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
B. Floyd 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Smith 12 2-5 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
J. Stephene 11 1-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
J. Spencer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Baker 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
B. Weaver 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter