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2009-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% +3.8 โœ“ (17.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 โœ“ (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +21 (82-61). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarred Riley 32 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
Ariece Perkins 31 6-16 1-5 4-6 5 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
Kevin Loyd 24 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
Jordan Lemons 24 2-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
Marcus Coleman 22 0-1 0-0 9-10 4 0 2 0 2 9 12 -
Donald Qualls 19 2-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Ibrahim Kpaka 17 2-4 1-3 2-4 1 2 1 0 2 7 5 -
George Akpele 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 2 1 1 3 -
Corrie Austin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Quincy Hall 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Jackson 39 6-12 0-2 9-10 3 5 5 0 1 21 21 -
Jumane Reed 31 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 9 12 -
Anthony Ford 26 3-12 1-7 0-2 4 1 2 0 2 7 0 -
Jonathan Boyd 25 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 12 6 -
Jarvis Williams 23 5-9 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 12 11 -
Antonio Jones 23 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 12 9 -
JaMarkus Holt 22 2-6 0-1 3-3 8 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
Brandon Rogers 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Alex Savannah 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Gifford Blakely 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter