Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harmason | 38 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| E. Petty | 37 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Behling | 33 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Studivant | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Cheeks | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Jones | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Newsome | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Nettles | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Burwell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Pritchard | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brooks | 36 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| A. Hayles | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| W. Jones | 32 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| I. White | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Kickingstallionsims | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Fitch | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Mundadi | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Butler | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Freeman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stangline | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Tolbert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Middlebrooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter