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2009-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -5.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 โœ— (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -10 (70-80). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Robinson 35 7-12 0-1 9-11 5 3 6 0 5 23 20 -
Jeremiah Crutcher 31 1-3 0-1 2-4 1 3 1 0 0 4 6 -
Jerrell Houston 30 9-12 0-0 1-2 6 2 2 3 3 19 17 -
Darius Cox 26 5-13 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 4 1 10 9 -
Wil Peters 21 1-1 0-0 4-5 3 4 0 0 0 6 12 -
Parker Smith 19 4-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 10 6 -
Emmanuel Gaiter 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Gershom Jordan 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Lonnie Funderburke 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Joshua Gregory 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Toles 37 3-11 1-6 5-6 2 7 2 0 3 12 9 -
Brandon Crawford 30 6-8 1-2 1-2 9 2 0 0 0 14 17 -
Nick Murphy 30 3-10 0-0 4-11 8 1 4 0 2 10 11 -
DeAndre Bray 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 3 1 -
Jeremy Bynum 22 2-8 2-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
Stephen Hall 21 3-7 0-1 2-5 5 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Geddes Robinson 16 3-8 0-0 2-6 9 1 0 1 0 8 11 -
John Barnes 11 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
Amadou Mbodji 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter