Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -13 (47-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 40 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| E. Clark | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Jennings | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Arinn Mcgee | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| E. Sosa | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| P. Knowles | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Samuels | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Goode | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Boothe | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| P. Horne | 37 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -3 | - |
| D.J. Kennedy | 36 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Evans | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Burrell | 30 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -6 | - |
| D. Coker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Q. Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jasiulionis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter