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2009-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carter 29 7-11 1-3 2-4 6 4 1 2 3 17 16 -
J. Dotzler 27 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 4 2 0 0 6 10 -
B. Woodfox 26 3-5 1-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
P. Stinnett 24 0-6 0-3 5-8 4 2 0 0 3 5 2 -
K. Walker II 20 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 2 0 5 6 -
K. Lawson Jr. 19 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 1 12 10 -
K. Korver 18 2-2 2-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
A. Young 13 2-7 0-1 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
C. Witter 13 0-1 0-1 4-4 0 3 1 0 0 4 7 -
C. Harriman 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ahelegbe 33 2-11 1-4 11-12 2 4 1 0 1 16 11 -
A. Koch 31 5-11 0-1 13-13 12 1 1 0 4 23 22 -
A. Farokhmanesh 29 4-10 2-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 1 -
J. Moran 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
T. Brown 22 3-8 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
K. Dunham 20 1-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
L. O'Rear 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 0 6 -
J. Eglseder 17 2-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 2 2 4 4 -
A. Rodenberg 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter