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2009-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% -
Margin 70.4% 29.6% -4.8 (17.8 off)
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -

Actual: Charlotte 49ers +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 2 5 5 -2 -
K. Huelsman 23 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
C. Johnson 23 4-5 2-2 3-3 7 0 1 1 3 13 14 -
C. Little 22 5-8 0-0 1-3 2 3 0 0 0 11 8 -
M. Perry 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Warren 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 6 7 -
R. Lowery 20 3-7 1-3 1-5 4 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
M. Johnson 16 2-7 1-3 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
P. Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Searcy 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
L. Fabrizius 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 39 3-8 1-2 6-8 1 12 2 1 1 13 20 -
C. Coley 33 4-6 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 2 3 9 14 -
A. Wilderness 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
L. Mack 27 6-15 2-7 6-6 5 1 0 1 1 20 11 -
R. Coleman 24 5-10 2-6 2-5 6 1 2 0 3 14 10 -
I. Andersen 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
P. Jones 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 6 7 -
G. Ngoundjo 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Church 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Barnett 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter