Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +14 (76-62). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hillman | 32 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 32 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Justin Knox | 31 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Jemison | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Torrance | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Brock | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Steele | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| JaMychal Green | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmin Mitchell | 30 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 27 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Spencer | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bass | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Terry Martin | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Farrer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Warren | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Delwan Graham | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter