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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 89.8% 10.2% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 76.5% 23.5% -6.5 (12.5 off)

Actual: Northwestern State Demons -19 (66-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Guignard 30 6-14 3-8 0-0 1 5 2 0 4 15 5 -
T. Moffitt 27 2-8 1-3 4-4 10 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
M. Haynes 24 4-10 1-2 4-4 5 4 3 0 3 13 12 -
A. Vereen 23 5-10 0-0 1-1 10 3 1 0 1 11 14 -
B. Long 23 4-11 0-6 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
J. Smith 18 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 5 1 0 2 7 9 -
T. Parker 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
L. Reed III 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Gentry II 8 3-5 1-1 1-5 4 0 0 0 3 8 4 -
J. DeWalt 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J.D. Davis 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
I. Awange 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Kinnear 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Mosley 26 4-6 0-0 4-7 10 1 2 3 1 12 21 -
D. Jones 25 3-10 1-4 2-4 5 0 0 1 2 9 3 -
K. Hancock 24 3-16 1-10 3-3 4 1 1 0 6 10 -6 -
K. Porterie 24 5-6 0-0 3-4 9 1 2 0 0 13 19 -
M. McConathy 19 2-9 2-6 2-2 1 3 2 0 3 8 2 -
D. Richardson 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 -
L. McConathy 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 0 -2 -
C. Clark 15 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Brooks 14 2-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 1 0 5 6 -
D. Petravicius 12 0-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Knight 7 2-2 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
J. Conine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter