Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -7 (54-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.