Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 37 | 6-18 | 6-18 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Coble | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Nash | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Shurna | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Ryan | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Rowley | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Capocci | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Peterson | 40 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Kelly | 40 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 33 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Cole | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Gatens | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Davis | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Tate | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Fuller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter