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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (31.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Log Adjusted 55.7% 44.3% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -18 (50-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Anderson 40 3-6 1-2 1-3 8 4 1 0 4 8 11 -
R. Dozier 40 7-12 1-2 3-4 10 1 1 1 4 18 15 -
T. Evans 37 6-13 3-6 7-8 6 2 1 1 2 22 17 -
S. Taggart 30 2-6 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 3 0 8 13 -
D. Mack 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
W. Kemp 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
P. Henderson-Niles 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
R. Sallie 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heytvelt 39 5-11 0-3 1-1 6 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
S. Gray 30 1-5 0-2 3-4 2 2 2 0 1 5 5 -
M. Downs 29 4-5 3-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
M. Bouldin 27 2-9 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
A. Daye 27 2-6 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
J. Pargo 24 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 2 -2 -
I. Brown 12 1-4 0-2 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
D. Goodson 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter