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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Delaware Blue Hens Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“

Actual: Georgia State Panthers +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware Blue Hens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Johnson 37 4-8 0-3 3-4 4 4 0 0 4 11 7 -
J. Carter 37 6-9 3-5 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 17 10 -
A. Dawson 32 1-8 0-4 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Egerson 28 4-11 2-6 4-6 9 2 1 0 3 14 12 -
D.J. Boney 22 4-5 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 8 -
J. Ledsome 19 4-4 0-0 3-8 4 1 1 0 1 11 12 -
A. Pegg 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
P. Geli 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Santiago 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hampton 36 2-5 0-0 1-3 6 3 0 0 2 5 7 -
D. Curry 30 5-10 3-6 0-1 1 2 2 0 3 13 5 -
J. Dukes 30 7-9 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 0 0 18 14 -
T. Goldston 30 5-9 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 12 10 -
K. Lott 24 2-4 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
R. Chase 23 5-7 0-0 1-3 3 0 2 0 2 11 7 -
L. Mendez 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
X. Hansbro 11 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 4 3 -
O. Krubally 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter