Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✗ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -18 (76-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.