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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Albany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.6% 11.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“

Actual: Albany Great Danes -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Trimboli 38 5-12 0-4 10-10 3 6 4 0 1 20 20 -
M. Blakely 35 7-12 0-0 5-8 12 4 1 0 7 19 17 -
C. McIntosh 31 7-12 2-2 2-2 7 0 1 1 2 18 13 -
G. Young 25 3-4 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 9 10 -
N. Vier 24 0-2 0-2 0-1 1 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
M. Joseph 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
E. Fjeld 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
J. Accaoui 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Clarke 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. Shields 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Connelly 36 3-11 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 6 1 -
W. Harris 33 1-9 0-4 0-1 8 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -
B. Gifford 28 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Johnson 21 2-2 0-0 1-3 3 5 0 0 1 5 10 -
T. Ambrose 20 11-17 1-1 6-10 7 1 3 0 4 29 19 -
A. Raffa 20 3-9 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 9 2 -
L. Barraza 17 5-6 5-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 17 12 -
J. Hastings 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
J. Covington 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
B. Allen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter