Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Welsh | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Fortson | 34 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Clarke | 34 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| M. Washington | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Britt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Clark | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 38 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Varnado | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| P. Turner | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| R. Johnson | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Benock | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Johnson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Osby | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Bailey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter