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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Welsh 35 5-12 3-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 14 5 -
C. Fortson 34 8-14 2-3 1-2 2 7 3 1 4 19 14 -
R. Clarke 34 4-13 4-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 0 -
M. Washington 31 5-12 1-3 3-4 7 0 0 1 4 14 6 -
J. Henry 23 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Sanchez 19 0-0 0-0 4-6 7 0 1 0 2 4 10 -
M. Britt 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Clark 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
B. Moore 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost 38 9-14 6-8 1-2 3 7 0 0 0 25 21 -
B. Stewart 36 5-12 3-8 9-10 5 3 0 1 5 22 14 -
J. Varnado 27 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 7 3 10 17 -
P. Turner 27 5-7 4-6 2-2 11 1 0 1 2 16 20 -
R. Johnson 25 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 -3 -
R. Benock 17 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
B. Johnson 11 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
R. Osby 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
E. Bailey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Beckham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter