Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 40 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 37 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Darger | 36 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Willis | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| K. Wallace | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Santee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 41 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| R. Martinez | 36 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 31 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Faris | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Garth | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Gary | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. McDonald | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Wills | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter