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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 โœ— (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.4% 26.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 32 2-7 1-2 1-3 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Morin 28 7-9 1-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 2 17 9 -
A. Zampier 28 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 8 3 -
C. Andrews 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 0 4 -
G. Fiddler 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 7 4 -
P. Braswell 18 1-3 0-2 3-6 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Sands 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Gibson 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Nelson 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Mantilla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Mangano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 32 5-18 1-5 2-2 2 0 2 1 2 13 -2 -
D. Rufful 30 6-10 0-1 2-2 3 0 3 1 0 14 11 -
J. Trotter 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 1 -
R. Pride 23 4-5 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 11 9 -
M. Sanders 23 3-4 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
K. Graeber 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 2 11 -
D. Biber 16 3-4 1-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
C. Weeden 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
E. Fitzgerald 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
R. Dixon 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Riddle 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter