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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 43 12-18 5-6 5-6 3 2 0 0 3 34 18 -
B. Asbury 34 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
D. Collins 32 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 0 3 7 8 -
A. Thomas 29 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
J. Dews 26 5-8 3-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 14 5 -
L. Hurdle 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
C. McGowan 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Graham 13 1-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
D. Jones 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 0 6 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 43 5-23 2-7 5-6 10 2 1 1 3 17 5 -
J. Scheyer 42 5-13 4-11 8-10 4 3 0 0 2 22 14 -
G. Paulus 40 6-15 4-12 2-2 5 2 3 0 1 18 12 -
G. Henderson 38 8-18 2-7 1-3 5 4 1 0 0 19 11 -
D. McClure 29 1-2 0-1 0-1 13 2 2 0 1 2 16 -
L. Thomas 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
B. Zoubek 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Smith 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
E. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pocius 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter