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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Montana Lady Griz Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% -
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Lady Griz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 35 7-14 0-2 9-9 5 5 0 0 5 23 14 -
J. McGillis 34 3-7 1-1 3-6 5 1 0 2 1 10 10 -
J. Hasquet 28 3-8 1-2 2-2 7 2 1 1 1 9 11 -
B. Qvale 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 8 9 -
R. Staudacher 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 20 3-3 0-0 3-4 2 3 2 0 2 9 11 -
K. Sharp 20 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 2 1 0 9 11 -
M. Taylor 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Rush 34 4-9 1-5 1-4 2 1 0 0 4 10 0 -
B. Howard 31 3-13 2-7 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 13 5 -
D. Mbunga 30 2-5 0-0 4-6 10 1 0 2 2 8 14 -
W. Bynum 29 2-8 0-0 5-8 4 2 1 0 3 9 5 -
J. Hennessy 22 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. Navarre 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Piepoli 13 3-7 2-6 4-5 3 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
C. Anderson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
A. Brown 4 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Henderson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter